Week 10 -  Football Game of the Week Preview

4A No. 3 Lowell (9-0)
at S.B. Washington (7-2)

A USA-365.com Special Report by Mark Smith
10-24-200
8
 

 

When:  Friday, October 24, 2008

Where:  School Field, South Bend
Tickets:
$66
TV/Radio:  WKIF (92.7) FM, WTMK (88.5) FM
ENROLLMENT:  Washington - Class 4A, enrollment - 1,465; LOWELL - Class 4A,  enrollment - 1,254

PARKING
:  School field is a large seat city-owned stadium on the west side of South Bend.  Washington plays this Friday night.  Adams plays Saturday night.  Note.  You need directions.  School Field is NOT at Washington high school.  School Field first opened in 1929 and, at one time, had a capacity of 15,000.  It has been remodeled several times since the early days but it is still the main stadium for South Bend public schools.  There should be plenty of room for all comers.  Washington was 0-10 last season so I don't know how much of a following they have.  Remember, the game is at 8:00 p.m. Eastern time so it starts at 7:00 p.m. Lowell time just as all other games have this season.

If WASHINGTON wins:
  They play on the road at either Concord (8-1) or Plymouth (9-0).

If LOWELL wins:  They play on the road at Concord (8-1) or they host Plymouth (9-0).

The Series:  This is the first-ever meeting of Lowell and South Bend Washington. The two schools have virtually nothing in common and I'd bet that neither understands why they are in the same football sectional.  Washington won the first Class 3A Indiana state championship in 1973 when they were 12-0 but they have not won a sectional since 1979, largely because they were a 5A school and Penn blocked their path.  Washington's Panthers were 10-0-1 in 1939, 10-0 in 1943, 9-0-1 in 1944 and 10-0 in 1953. 

 

I have absolutely no faith in the old "mythical" wire service state championships that were given out before the state tourney began in 1973.  The Panthers were chosen as the Associated Press (AP) state champions of Indiana in 1969, 1939 an 1937.  They were chosen as the old United Press International (UPI) state champs in 1943, 1944 and 1953.  If you want to know how the different wire services could pick them No. 1 in different years, join the club. Word is, those pre-tournament state champs depended a lot on where your school was and who your coach knew.

 

South Bend has a long history in high school football. South Bend Central, which closed in 1969, played football in 1892 and is considered the first Indiana team to play high school football.  There is some confusion about Washington. The school's web site says it opened in 1960 but Northern Indiana Football.com has game-by-game scores going back to 1936. The 1937-1939, Washington annually played White Plains, New York in a series that I can't explain. In 1941-42, Washington played Evansville Reitz, which is 200 miles away. The Panthers also played Evansville Memorial and Bosse in those days.

 

Washington was a very prestigious football school in the middle of the 20th Century.  But after a 10-2 season in 1977, Washington's program began to decline, probably due to shifts in population to the outskirts of South Bend. For the next 30 seasons (the Panthers won eight games in 1989 and 1990), Washington won six games or less 28 times.  2008 is Washington's first winning season since 2001 and this is only the third winning season for the Panthers since 1990.

 

Obviously, the South Bend scene is dominated by Notre Dame football and the coaching change, bringing in a former Notre Dame player, clearly has inspired the program.  The 'spread offense' the Panthers use might not be the best way to play football in Northern Indiana in October and November but it probably is a style that the school's best athletes, largely basketball players, wish to play. If Washington ran the ball 50 times a game like Lowell did they might not have as many players.

 

Washington is like Hammond high in that their greatest years came before the state tournament began. The Panthers surge also resembles Hammond's rise from 2-10 in 2006 to 9-2 in 2007. Washington has gone from 0-10 in 2007 to 7-2 in 2008 so they will see this game as a potential trip to the mountain top.
Friday night might be the time when we all know if 'the surge' has been a success.


Lowell's quarterback Kurt Monix (2) and wide receiver Jake Belt (8) make a great passing/receiving combination on offense.  (All photos by Mark Smith)
Lowell QB Kurt Monix rolling out against Hammond High earlier this year.  Lowell has won 15 consecutive sectional playoff games.

Lowell Red Devils  (9-0)
Coach Kirk Kennedy, 143-67 in (18th year)
8-22 (W) 7-0 at Crown Point  (3-6)        
8-29 (W) 47-20 Morton (6-3)      
9- 5 (W) 42-0 Kankakee Valley (3-6)   
9-12 (W) 27-12 at GRIFFITH (5-4)
9-19 (W) 55-7 at HIGHLAND (0-9)
9-26 (W) 35-32 HOBART (8-1)
10-3 (W)  63-0 at Hammond (6-3)
10-10 (W) 24-7 MUNSTER (6-3)
10-17 (W) 35-6 at ANDREAN (3-6)

Sectional 10 Quarterfinals
 
Oct. 24 (F) at (South Bend) Washington (7-2)
Oct 31 (F) Sectional 10 semifinals vs either Plymouth (9-0) or at Concord (8-1)
Nov. 7 (F) Sectional  10 finals
Nov. 14 (F) 4A Regional final
Nov. 21 (F) 4A Semistate
Nov. 29 (S) Class 4A state final - Lucas Oil Arena  (4 p.m. EST)  downtown Indianapolis


(South Bend) Washington (7-2)
Coach  Antwon Jones(1st year)

8-22 (W) 20-19 at (Mishawaka) Marian (3-6)
8-29 (W) 22-20 Michigan City (4-5)
9-5 (L) 6-17 at Elkhart Central (2-6)
9-12 (W) 24-14 (SB) Adams (3-6)
9-19 (W) 38-28 (SB) Clay  (4-5)
9-26 (W) 28-0 East Chicago (4-5)
10-3 (W) 13-10 (SB) St. Joseph's (7-2)
10-10 (L) 13-24 at (SB) Riley  (3-6)
10-17(W) 13-7 Mishawaka (6-3)

Class 4A Sectional 10 Quarterfinals
Oct 24 (F) Lowell (9-0)
Oct 31 (F) at Concord (8-1)  or at Plymouth (9-0)
Nov. 7 (F) Sectional 10 finals
Nov. 14 (F) 4A Regional
Nov. 21 (F) Northern 4A Semistate  championship
Nov. 29 (S) 2008 Class 4A title game - Lucas Oil Arena (4 p.m. EST) in Indianapolis


(South Bend) Washington (7-2)
Coach: Antwon Jones - 1st season (7-2)

Enrollment: 1,545
2007 record: 0-10
Sectional titles: (1)  1977
Regional titles: (1) 1973
Semistate titles: (0) none
State titles: (1)  1979

SOUTH BEND (10-24-8)   I cannot explain how Washington beat St. Joseph's and Mishawaka, but loses to sub-.500 squads Riley and Elkhart Central.  I cannot totally explain how Washington was 0-10 last year and is 7-2 now.  That's why Lowell has to take this team seriously.  Apparently some well-known South Bend football schools (like St. Joe, Mishawaka and Marian) chose not to this season and they got beat.

Some teams pass a little.  Some teams pass a lot.  Washington, coached by Notre Dame alum Antwon Jones in his head coaching debut, threw 292 passes in their first nine games.  The starting quarterback is junior Pat Borlik but his sophomore brother Tate Borlik also may play.  Against Riley, in a 24-13 loss, the Borlik brothers completed 19 of 53 passes for 287 yards. They seem not to care if the passes are incomplete.  They accept a couple of interceptions.  The Panthers had scored 22 TDs through eight games and only three were rushing TDs.

They line up senior Jarrett Fleming (6-5, 225) and junior Troy Franklin (6-1, 190) who have combined for 16 touchdowns and they throw whether you are stopping them or not.  No one has run for more than 200 yards on Washington's defense, even though the Panther offense clearly does not eat up the clock.  Why?  Tackles Darren Fisher (6-0, 260) and Aaron Cruz (5-9, 240) are big defenders, but I don't know how many good running teams they've played.
Jesus Mercado has two field goals from 28 and 39 yards.  One thing to note.  Mercado has had an extra point blocked in each of the last two games.  Washington is only about 50-50 on extra points.

Washington has run for less than 500 yards all season, but I cannot tell if that's because they prefer to throw or because they simply don't have the offensive line to run block.  Probably both.  It is hard to see how they'll win playoff games without rushing the football effectively.  But the Panthers' defense might be better than the numbers show because they have to be on the field quite a bit. Some suggest that South Bend football is at the level of Gary or Hammond football, but there's nobody in Gary or Hammond that could beat Mishawaka as Washington did. Washington does not allow the sustained drives that Lowell lives on.


4A Lowell Red Devils  (9-0)
Enrollment: 1,254
2007 record: 13-2
4A Sectional titles: (9) 1992, 1994, 1999, 2003, 04, 05, 06, 07.
4A Regional titles:  (4) 1994, 1999, 2005, 2007
4A Semi state titles: (2) 2005, 2007
4A State Titles (1) 2005

LOWELL (10-24-2008) Lowell will run the ball 25-30 times with junior halfback Brandon Grubbe (191 carries, 1,160 yards).  Lowell has two other smaller halfbacks Cody Midgett (24 carries, 242 yards, 6 TDs) and Deron Johnson (48 carries, 291 yards, 6 TDs) who have consistently reached the end zone and fullback Bryan DeSomer (51 carries, 252 yards. 5 TDs) who runs behind the quick offensive line, which includes center Ryan Russnak (6-3, 175) with Justin Juarez (6-3, 227), Brian DeMario (6-3, 232), Nick Schultz (6-0, 238), and David Eastling (6-0, 213).

Playing a team they have never seen on a field where they have never played, it may take a couple of series for the Devils to get started.  I don't know what the condition of the turf at School Field is, but Lowell's running game is based on footwork and speed.  That's why its worrisome to play on the road.

Senior Jake Belt (5-8, 160) has caught 15 passes for an unreal 385 yards (25.6 per catch), while Midgett (10 catches, 184 yards) has added another threat for QB Kurt Monix (50 of 80, 1,091 yards, 8 TDs) who threw his first interception last week. Lowell throws less than 10 passes a game and that wont change because incomplete passes will give Washington more possessions. The Panthers also have a quality defensive secondary, probably because they practice so much against a passing offense.

Lowell has allowed less than 900 yards passing all year.  I wouldn't be surprised to see Brandon Grubbe begin the game in the secondary.  Grubbe is a quality defensive back, but he doesn't play there because he runs the ball so much.  He may be more valuable on defense in this game.

But the key will be the pass rush and junior defensive end Nate Cleveland (6-4, 200) has been a factor with four sacks in the last two games.  With Joe Bell (6-3, 190), who has five sacks this year, on the other side, the Devils are getting the pass rush they lacked early in the year.  The defensive line needs to be ready Friday because part of Washington's game plan is to wear them out.

Kicker Matt Berkos has two field goals (21, 27 yards) and he has made 28 extra points in a row since missing a point boot against Griffith on September 12th.  Lowell has allowed just 36 points in the first half all season and they have outscored eight foes 145-14 in the second quarter.

Lowell's back-to-back games with Andrean and Munster should make them ready for this test.  But I suspect the Panthers keep a back or two in the backfield and throw 'jump ball' type passes to their tall receivers.  The Devils haven't seen anything like that since they faced Hobart and Bobby James in September.


4A, No. 3 LOWELL (9-0) at S.B. Washington (7-2)

 

At School Field - South Bend - Capacity: 5,000 -  Sagarin computer ratings:  Lowell by 19

SOUTH BEND (10-24-2008) - None of us know exactly what the Red Devils are walking into here so Lowell will be very conservative in the early going.  The Panthers will try to strike early on a pass-and-run TD from Pat Borlik (6-2, 190) to Jarrett Fleming (6-5, 225).  That's what they do every game and they apparently don't hide it.

Washington apparently throws the ball to him whether he's covered or not.  They want to create one-on-one coverage and they expect Fleming, a Division-1 caliber pass catcher, to go up and get it over smaller defensive backs.  In the first quarter, he will to give the Panthers a 7-0 lead.

The Devils will respond on defense when Ryan Russnak intercepts a pass and takes it back for a game-tying TD.  Washington will stop the run early, but a blocked punt will lead to a short drive and Lowell fullback Bryan DeSomer will break through for a TD to give the Devils a 14-7 lead before halftime.

When you throw the ball 15-20 times a game, you are trying to find a weakness and exploit it.  When you throw 30-35 times a game you are trying to wear the other team out so they'll make a mistake and give you a TD or two.  Lowell has to be disciplined to not play the scoreboard.  Whether they are up 14 or down 14, the Panthers will play the same game.  They do not have a running attack.

From a distance, the Panthers look like a slightly upgraded version of last year's Hammond high team which lost 20-0 at Lowell.  I believe that Washington will tie the game in the third quarter, but Lowell will get 12-15 possessions for the game and the Devils will pull away in the late going with three interceptions.  Washington can't control the clock and their kicking game is not strong.

Lowell will be the first team to rush for 300 yards on Washington with most of it coming late on breakaway runs by Brandon Grubbe and Cody Midgett.

This will be a long night for Lowell but they will eventually prevail, improving to 10-0 for the first time since 1993.

LOWELL 38, Washington 21


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Revised: October 24, 2008 .